Public Analytics

Detailed performance, calibration, and market comparison.

This page is the evidence layer for the model. It shows how often the forecasts were right, how they compare with market pricing, and how real wagers have performed once capital was deployed.

Surface Public proof

Focus Accuracy, calibration, ROI

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Model Accuracy —

All predicted games, measured against actual outcomes.

Market Accuracy —

Sportsbook baseline, tracked against the same settled sample.

Bet ROI —

Return on real wagers from the model recommendation set.

Data fetched UTC —

Sample window —

Settled bets —

Includes Settled model wagers

Model Accuracy

All predicted games

Games—

Correct—

Incorrect—

Accuracy—

Receipts

ROI over time

Cumulative ROI Stake-normalized return across settled wagers

Positive slope means realized return is improving relative to stake deployed.

Market Accuracy

Sportsbook odds baseline

Games—

Correct—

Incorrect—

Accuracy—

Bet Performance

Real wagers

Bets—

Wins—

Losses—

Accuracy—

ROI—

Model Calibration Predicted probability vs actual win rate

Diagonal line marks perfect calibration: predicted probability equals actual win rate.

Bet Calibration Confidence vs realized results

Buckets above the line beat predicted confidence; buckets below trail it.

Recent Settled Bets

The receipts

Date	Matchup	Side	Result	Model	Market	Edge	Return
Loading settled bets...